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Dubai property transactions in July and August 2026: DLD monthly data, and why the year-on-year fall overstates it

July 2026: 13,930 sales worth AED 34.9bn, down about 31% in number on a record July 2025. August: around 11,600 sales worth AED 27.9bn, down 37% in number and 44% in value. Where the slowdown is real, and where it is a base effect.

Dubai property transactions in July and August 2026: DLD monthly data, and why the year-on-year fall overstates it

Headlines about Dubai in September 2026 read like a correction: transactions down a third, values down by almost half. Those numbers are correct, but they compare this summer with the strongest summer the market has ever had. Taken month by month, the Dubai Land Department (DLD) data tells a more useful story for anyone deciding whether to buy now. We covered the season as a whole in our summer 2026 market review; this piece is the monthly breakdown.

July 2026

DLD registered 13,930 sales worth AED 34.88bn (about $9.5bn) in July. Against June that is a small gain: value up 6.9%, count up 1.2%. Against July 2025 — 20,304 sales worth AED 65bn, the second-best month on record — it is a fall of roughly 31% in number and 46% in value.

July 2026SalesValueShare of value
Ready4,308AED 18.92bn54%
Off-plan9,622AED 15.96bn46%

The average ready transaction was about AED 4.4m, the average off-plan one about AED 1.7m. These are not two prices for the same product. The ready market is increasingly villas and larger apartments, while off-plan volume is driven by studios and one-bedrooms bought on a deposit. We explain why they should be read separately in off-plan and ready: two markets counted as one.

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August 2026

August brought around 11,600 sales worth AED 27.89bn (about $7.6bn), plus 3,390 mortgage registrations worth AED 14.36bn. Brokerage analysts working from DLD data put the change on August 2025 at minus 37% in number and minus 44% in value. Counts that include only homes show minus 35% and minus 46%, because they leave out commercial property and land.

  • Sales under AED 2m fell by about 16%, while registrations above AED 5m rose by about 29%.
  • Ultra-prime off-plan sales rose 12% year on year. Prime resale fell by two thirds.
  • Dubai South again led by number of sales, with Azizi Venice alone accounting for roughly 1,500 transactions worth AED 1.22bn.

The projects at the top

By value, July's project rankings compiled from DLD exports were led by Eltiera Views on Jumeirah Islands, with RAW District on Sheikh Zayed Road close behind. In August the top spot went to Palm Central Private Residences on Palm Jebel Ali, and RAW District led apartments by number of sales. Nearly all the leaders are fresh launches by large developers in locations buyers already understand. Speculative resales barely feature.

How to read it as a buyer

Most of the year-on-year fall is a base effect. July beat June, and August's dip on July is ordinary Dubai seasonality. The cooling is still real: March to August volume was about 31% below the previous six months. It is just gentler than the headlines suggest.

Negotiating power has shifted to the buyer in the mid-market resale segment, where fewer deals are closing and sellers accept offers. In popular launches it has not: developers still sell at list price and discount through the payment plan. When you compare ready and off-plan, compare the cost of capital rather than projected growth: what you pay before handover, and what the unit rents for afterwards.

Considering one of the projects in these rankings, from RAW District to Palm Central Private Residences? We will benchmark it against resale in the same district using DLD figures, not the brochure.

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